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UFL Week Nine: Jared Shuster’s Best Bets

This season’s record: 12-11-1

Week 9 Picks:
Stallions @ Brahmas OVER 44
Panthers @ Roughnecks OVER 40
Panthers -3

In week eight we saw all four games determined by seven points or less. It was a fun week of games despite the fact that the playoffs were nearly set in stone already. Personally, it wasn’t a good week for me, going 0-3 and dropping back down near .500 on the season. I haven’t gone with a lot of totals this year, but we have some good lines this week. With some teams resting for the playoffs and others out of the race, plenty of players will still be looking to put out good game film and win this weekend as the UFL regular season winds down. Let’s look at week nine’s best bets.

Birmingham Stallions @ San Antonio Brahmas
OVER 44

On Saturday, the Stallions will go up against the Brahmas in San Antonio with hopes of improving to 9-0 on the year and one week closer to perfection. Birmingham averages 29.5 points per game and San Antonio is at 20.3. If these two teams simply hit their averages in week nine, they’ll clear the over with ease. Over the last three weeks, the Stallions’ defense has given up 25 points per game and hasn’t been quite as dominant with all of the injuries they’ve sustained. The Brahmas’ defense has only given up 15 points per game over the last three weeks, but this is the best scoring offense in the league that they’ll hope to shut down after facing lesser offenses over those last three.

Stallions’ quarterback Adrian Martinez always puts up points. In his five true starts for Birmingham, the Stallions are averaging 33.8 points per game and have been terrific. There’s a reason he’ll be the league’s MVP by season’s end. Last week, Brahmas’ running back Anthony McFarland returned from injury and put up 134 yards and two touchdowns on just 12 touches. He’s been extremely explosive every time he’s been on the field, and I expect another long score from him this week. San Antonio is also welcoming back quarterback Chase Garbers from IR this week and he should get some snaps to prep for the playoffs. One more point to add is the fact that this game is indoors so the weather is a non-factor. With home-field advantage on the line for the XFL conferences championship, head coach Wade Phillips and his team will be playing to win. As we’ve seen over the past two seasons in the USFL, Stallions’ head coach Skip Holtz never rests his guys, even with home-field clinched. Expect the offenses to prevail.

Michigan Panthers (-3) @ Houston Roughnecks
OVER 40

This is the first game this season that I’ve double-dipped on, taking the spread and total. The last time these two teams met in week three, the Panthers won 34-20 at home hitting the over and covering. I expect the same result this week. Starting with the Panthers giving three points, it’s simple. They’re the better team. They’re third in scoring and tied for third in scoring defense. Since losing starting quarterbacks EJ Perry and Danny Etling, the Michigan offense has continued to improve and has played surprisingly well with a 2-QB system featuring Bryce Perkins and Brian Lewerke. Last week they lost running back Wes Hills for the season to a knee injury which will hurt, but they still have Matt Colburn carrying the load at running back and he has been fantastic as of late. Perkins has added a great element to the offense with his legs, as well.

This is by far the lowest total in this weekend’s games, but I like the over. In their last matchup, these two teams combined for 54 points and 582 yards of offense. I’m expecting a similar pace this week and the weather helps. The temperature is expected to hit the mid-to-upper 90’s on Sunday in Houston and that should lead to tired defenses. With both sides boasting athletic quarterbacks in Perkins for Michigan and Nolan Henderson for Houston, they should be able to run and make plays against exhausted defensive linemen. Henderson has been limited in practice but is expected to start if healthy. Against Birmingham last week, he and Reid Sinnett split time at QB and he provided a nice spark. The Roughnecks scored a season-high 28 points against a very good defense and were able to run the ball with the threat of Henderson’s legs on read options and RPO’s. Three is a small number to cover for Michigan and both teams should put up 20+ points.

What are your thoughts on these UFL Best Bets from Jared Shuster? Are you a fan of UFL Betting? Let us know down in the comments below, or join the conversation on Discord!

 

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